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Cyclones can be predicted four months ahead, thanks to new Australasian model – ABC News

Australian and New Zealand researchers develop a new predictive model that forecasts cyclones up to four months in advance, which could buy the Pacific more time to prepare for deadly weather events.



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Cyclones have been notoriously hard to predict over decades, but a new scientific model could prove to be a circuit-breaker, particularly in the cyclone-battered Pacific.
Key points:

  • Cyclone modelling has traditionally been difficult due to complex interactions between the sea and atmosphere
  • A new Australia-New Zealand forecast model now synthesizes these interactions simultaneously
  • This could strengthen the Pacific’s preparedness for its annual cyclone season
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